Back to UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Main Welterweight

Danny Barlow vs Nikolay Veretennikov

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Danny Barlow
Nikolay Veretennikov
71% 29%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 5"
74"
29
Age
Δ 6y
35
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Barlow: 47 sig / 0 TD · Veretennikov: 50 sig / 0 TD
Danny Barlow
Nikolay Veretennikov
64
Sig strikes landed
51
124
Sig strikes attempted
116
66
Total strikes landed
57
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.3
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
65s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Danny Barlow

"LeftHand2God"
10-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
Blue corner

Nikolay Veretennikov

"Gladiator"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35