Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chris Gutierrez
Quang Le
75%
25%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
33
Age
Δ 0y
33
L1
Current streak
—
12
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gutierrez: 59 sig / 0 TD ·
Le: 16 sig / 2 TD
Chris Gutierrez
Quang Le
69
Sig strikes landed
44
126
Sig strikes attempted
98
82
Total strikes landed
50
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
102s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Chris Gutierrez
"El Guapo"
22-8-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
12 fights · 8-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
Blue corner
Quang Le
"Bang"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33