Main
Women's Bantamweight
Yana Santos vs Chelsea Chandler
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yana Santos
Chelsea Chandler
70%
30%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
35
Age
Δ 1y
34
17-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
7-4
L3
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Santos: 94 sig / 0 TD ·
Chandler: 56 sig / 0 TD
Yana Santos
Chelsea Chandler
51
Sig strikes landed
37
101
Sig strikes attempted
80
89
Total strikes landed
68
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.7
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
228s
Control time
173s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Yana Santos
17-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
L
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
Blue corner
W1
Chelsea Chandler
7-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—