Prelims1
Featherweight
Youssef Zalal vs Jarno Errens
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Youssef Zalal
Jarno Errens
70%
30%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
19-6-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-6-1
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Zalal: 10 sig / 1 TD ·
Errens: 6 sig / 0 TD
Youssef Zalal
Jarno Errens
44
Sig strikes landed
41
101
Sig strikes attempted
84
66
Total strikes landed
55
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.2
7.1
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
236s
Control time
48s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Youssef Zalal
"The Moroccan Devil"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
8 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jarno Errens
15-6-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—