Back to UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Karol Rosa vs Pannie Kianzad

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Karol Rosa
Pannie Kianzad
75% 25%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
19-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
L2
9
UFC fights in our DB
10

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rosa: 117 sig / 1 TD · Kianzad: 92 sig / 0 TD
Karol Rosa
Pannie Kianzad
95
Sig strikes landed
72
174
Sig strikes attempted
172
132
Total strikes landed
100
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
224s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Karol Rosa

19-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
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W UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
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Blue corner
L2

Pannie Kianzad

"Banzai"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
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L UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
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W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
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L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—