Back to UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Main Bantamweight

Toshiomi Kazama vs Charalampos Grigoriou

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Toshiomi Kazama
Charalampos Grigoriou
66% 34%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
11-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
8-6
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Kazama: 2 sig / 1 TD · Grigoriou: 26 sig / 0 TD
Toshiomi Kazama
Charalampos Grigoriou
32
Sig strikes landed
29
60
Sig strikes attempted
61
52
Total strikes landed
56
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.2
2.8
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
96s
Control time
250s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
42%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Toshiomi Kazama

11-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
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L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
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Blue corner
L1

Charalampos Grigoriou

"Ferocious"
8-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
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