Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Andre Petroski
Dylan Budka
61%
39%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
33
Age
Δ 9y
25
14-6
Career record
Δ 16 pp
7-6
W1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Petroski: 23 sig / 3 TD ·
Budka: 17 sig / 0 TD
Andre Petroski
Dylan Budka
38
Sig strikes landed
25
72
Sig strikes attempted
60
63
Total strikes landed
54
3.0
Takedowns landed
2.9
4.6
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
301s
Control time
205s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Andre Petroski
14-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
Blue corner
L1
Dylan Budka
"The Mindless Hulk"
7-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—