Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Jaqueline Amorim vs Vanessa Demopoulos
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jaqueline Amorim
Vanessa Demopoulos
83%
17%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 8"
60"
29
Age
Δ 7y
36
12-2
Career record
Δ 26 pp
12-8
W2
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Amorim: 2 sig / 1 TD ·
Demopoulos: 2 sig / 0 TD
Jaqueline Amorim
Vanessa Demopoulos
44
Sig strikes landed
38
113
Sig strikes attempted
91
85
Total strikes landed
55
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
223s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jaqueline Amorim
12-2
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
Blue corner
W2
Vanessa Demopoulos
"Lil Monster"
12-8
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—