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Prelims1 Featherweight

Isaac Dulgarian vs Brendon Marotte

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Isaac Dulgarian
Brendon Marotte
69% 31%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
28
Age
Δ 0y
29
7-3
Career record
Δ 3 pp
8-4
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Dulgarian: 41 sig / 2 TD · Marotte: 3 sig / 0 TD
Isaac Dulgarian
Brendon Marotte
25
Sig strikes landed
31
45
Sig strikes attempted
32
60
Total strikes landed
45
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.1
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
267s
Control time
340s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Isaac Dulgarian

"The Midwest Choppa"
7-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
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W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
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Blue corner
L1

Brendon Marotte

"The Kid"
8-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
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