Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Felipe dos Santos
Andre Lima
46%
54%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
24
Age
Δ 2y
26
9-3
Career record
Δ 25 pp
12-0
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
dos Santos: 38 sig / 0 TD ·
Lima: 18 sig / 2 TD
Felipe dos Santos
Andre Lima
40
Sig strikes landed
68
127
Sig strikes attempted
133
49
Total strikes landed
91
0.4
Takedowns landed
2.3
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
78s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Felipe dos Santos
"Lipe Detona"
9-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
L
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
Blue corner
W2
Andre Lima
"Mascote"
12-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—