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Trevor Peek vs Yanal Ashmouz

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Trevor Peek
Yanal Ashmouz
60% 40%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
30
Age
Δ 0y
29
9-4
Career record
Δ 3 pp
8-3
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Peek: 55 sig / 0 TD · Ashmouz: 42 sig / 9 TD
Trevor Peek
Yanal Ashmouz
39
Sig strikes landed
34
83
Sig strikes attempted
73
56
Total strikes landed
44
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
157s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Trevor Peek

9-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
W UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
W UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
Blue corner
L1

Yanal Ashmouz

"Red Fox"
8-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
W UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3