Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Natalia Silva
38%
62%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
27-15
Career record
Δ 13 pp
21-5-1
W2
Current streak
W5
27
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Andrade: 50 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 117 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Andrade
Natalia Silva
72
Sig strikes landed
59
142
Sig strikes attempted
132
78
Total strikes landed
82
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.1
Takedowns attempted
2.1
1.00
Knockdowns
0.30
211s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
27-15
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
27 fights · 17-10
Last 5
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
Blue corner
W5
Natalia Silva
21-5-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—