Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Nora Cornolle vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
·Accor Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Nora Cornolle
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
35%
65%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
35
Age
Δ 8y
27
10-4
Career record
Δ 13 pp
11-2
W2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Cornolle: 54 sig / 1 TD ·
Cavalcanti: 54 sig / 0 TD
Nora Cornolle
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
62
Sig strikes landed
55
108
Sig strikes attempted
121
86
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.0
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
139s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Nora Cornolle
10-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
Blue corner
W2
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
11-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—