Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Ailin Perez vs Daria Zhelezniakova
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
·Accor Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ailin Perez
Daria Zhelezniakova
66%
34%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
14-2
Career record
Δ 9 pp
11-3
W3
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Perez: 7 sig / 2 TD ·
Zhelezniakova: 5 sig / 1 TD
Ailin Perez
Daria Zhelezniakova
45
Sig strikes landed
41
106
Sig strikes attempted
102
80
Total strikes landed
58
2.9
Takedowns landed
0.1
7.0
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
283s
Control time
58s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Ailin Perez
"Fiona"
14-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
Blue corner
W1
Daria Zhelezniakova
"Iron Lady"
11-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—