Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Drew Dober
Jean Silva
41%
59%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
29-16
Career record
Δ 21 pp
18-3
L1
Current streak
W2
23
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 3
Dober: 59 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 53 sig / 0 TD
Drew Dober
Jean Silva
30
Sig strikes landed
48
88
Sig strikes attempted
107
34
Total strikes landed
50
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
89s
Control time
21s
Method
Decision
17%
KO/TKO
71%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Drew Dober
29-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
23 fights · 13-9
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
L
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
Blue corner
W2
Jean Silva
"Lord"
18-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—