Main
Welterweight
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Muslim Salikhov
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
·Ball Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Muslim Salikhov
77%
23%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
38
Age
Δ 2y
40
31-10
Career record
Δ 0 pp
22-7
L1
Current streak
L2
17
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Ponzinibbio: 41 sig / 2 TD ·
Salikhov: 46 sig / 0 TD
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Muslim Salikhov
60
Sig strikes landed
52
140
Sig strikes attempted
110
73
Total strikes landed
57
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
44s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Santiago Ponzinibbio
"Argentine Dagger"
31-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
17 fights · 11-6
Last 5
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
L2
Muslim Salikhov
"King of Kung Fu"
22-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—