Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Gabriel Bonfim
Ange Loosa
84%
16%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
27
Age
Δ 4y
31
19-2
Career record
Δ 24 pp
10-5
L1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bonfim: 101 sig / 1 TD ·
Loosa: 52 sig / 4 TD
Gabriel Bonfim
Ange Loosa
47
Sig strikes landed
22
91
Sig strikes attempted
57
68
Total strikes landed
50
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
198s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Gabriel Bonfim
"Marretinha"
19-2
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
W
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
W2
Ange Loosa
"The Last Ninja"
10-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—