Prelims1
Middleweight
Josh Fremd vs Andre Petroski
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
·Ball Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Josh Fremd
Andre Petroski
52%
48%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
11-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
13-7
L1
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Fremd: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Petroski: 12 sig / 3 TD
Josh Fremd
Andre Petroski
32
Sig strikes landed
31
70
Sig strikes attempted
65
49
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.9
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
137s
Control time
227s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Josh Fremd
11-7
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
L
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
Blue corner
L2
Andre Petroski
13-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—