Main
Women's Flyweight
Rose Namajunas vs Tracy Cortez
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
·Ball Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Rose Namajunas
Tracy Cortez
47%
53%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
16-8
Career record
Δ 15 pp
13-3
W1
Current streak
W5
15
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Namajunas: 96 sig / 5 TD ·
Cortez: 58 sig / 2 TD
Rose Namajunas
Tracy Cortez
57
Sig strikes landed
64
131
Sig strikes attempted
145
80
Total strikes landed
94
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.0
3.4
Takedowns attempted
6.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
138s
Control time
216s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
16-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
15 fights · 10-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
Blue corner
W5
Tracy Cortez
13-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—