Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Loik Radzhabov
Trey Ogden
61%
39%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
19-6-1
Career record
Δ 0 pp
19-7
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Radzhabov: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Ogden: 24 sig / 4 TD
Loik Radzhabov
Trey Ogden
40
Sig strikes landed
40
96
Sig strikes attempted
98
58
Total strikes landed
64
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
3.9
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
179s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Loik Radzhabov
"The Tajik Tank"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
W1
Trey Ogden
"Shamurai"
19-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
5 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—