Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Miranda Maverick vs Dione Barbosa
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Miranda Maverick
Dione Barbosa
77%
23%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
18-6
Career record
Δ 4 pp
10-4
W2
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Maverick: 30 sig / 2 TD ·
Barbosa: 21 sig / 1 TD
Miranda Maverick
Dione Barbosa
44
Sig strikes landed
33
85
Sig strikes attempted
81
78
Total strikes landed
65
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.5
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
256s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Miranda Maverick
"Fear The"
18-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
W
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
L
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
Blue corner
W1
Dione Barbosa
"The Witch"
10-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—