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Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Luana Carolina vs Lucie Pudilova

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Luana Carolina
Lucie Pudilova
61% 39%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
12-5
Career record
Δ 15 pp
14-11
W2
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
10

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Carolina: 94 sig / 0 TD · Pudilova: 43 sig / 2 TD
Luana Carolina
Lucie Pudilova
63
Sig strikes landed
56
142
Sig strikes attempted
142
85
Total strikes landed
88
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.5
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
101s
Control time
214s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Luana Carolina

"Dread"
12-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
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W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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L UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
L UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
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W UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
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Blue corner
L2

Lucie Pudilova

14-11
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 10 fights · 3-7
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
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L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
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W UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
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