Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Brian Kelleher
Cody Gibson
44%
56%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 5"
71"
38
Age
Δ 1y
37
24-17
Career record
Δ 4 pp
22-13
L3
Current streak
L4
16
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Kelleher: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Gibson: 13 sig / 2 TD
Brian Kelleher
Cody Gibson
36
Sig strikes landed
43
73
Sig strikes attempted
104
53
Total strikes landed
57
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
140s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Brian Kelleher
"Boom"
24-17
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
38
In our database
16 fights · 8-8
Last 5
L
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
Blue corner
L4
Cody Gibson
"The Renegade"
22-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
6 fights · 1-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
L
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—