Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Josh Culibao
Ricardo Ramos
51%
49%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
11-5-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
17-9
L2
Current streak
L2
7
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Culibao: 70 sig / 0 TD ·
Ramos: 27 sig / 1 TD
Josh Culibao
Ricardo Ramos
40
Sig strikes landed
39
90
Sig strikes attempted
94
49
Total strikes landed
49
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
34s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Josh Culibao
"Kuya"
11-5-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
W
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
Blue corner
L2
Ricardo Ramos
17-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—