Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tai Tuivasa
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
54%
46%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
78"
31
Age
Δ 5y
36
15-11
Career record
Δ 15 pp
16-6
L4
Current streak
W1
15
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Tuivasa: 37 sig / 0 TD ·
Rozenstruik: 91 sig / 0 TD
Tai Tuivasa
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
31
Sig strikes landed
40
65
Sig strikes attempted
74
45
Total strikes landed
49
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
0.7
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
62s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
15%
KO/TKO
79%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L4
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
15-11
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
15 fights · 8-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
L
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
16-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—