Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Andrea Lee vs Montana De La Rosa
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
·KFC Yum! Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Andrea Lee
Montana De La Rosa
42%
58%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
35
Age
Δ 6y
29
13-12
Career record
Δ 2 pp
13-10-1
L4
Current streak
L3
12
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Lee: 75 sig / 0 TD ·
De La Rosa: 70 sig / 3 TD
Andrea Lee
Montana De La Rosa
54
Sig strikes landed
48
105
Sig strikes attempted
122
75
Total strikes landed
83
0.8
Takedowns landed
2.0
1.5
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
109s
Control time
245s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L4
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
13-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
12 fights · 5-7
Last 5
L
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
Blue corner
L3
Montana De La Rosa
13-10-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
11 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—