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Main Middleweight

Julian Marquez vs Zach Reese

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov ·KFC Yum! Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Julian Marquez
Zach Reese
44% 56%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 5"
77"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
9-7
Career record
Δ 15 pp
10-4
L2
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Marquez: 1 sig / 0 TD · Reese: 6 sig / 0 TD
Julian Marquez
Zach Reese
32
Sig strikes landed
35
73
Sig strikes attempted
68
46
Total strikes landed
44
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
80s
Control time
322s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Julian Marquez

"The Cuban Missile Crisis"
9-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
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L UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
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W UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
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W UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
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L The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
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Blue corner
L1

Zach Reese

"Savage"
10-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
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