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Main Middleweight

Brunno Ferreira vs Dustin Stoltzfus

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov ·KFC Yum! Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Brunno Ferreira
Dustin Stoltzfus
68% 32%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
16-3
Career record
Δ 16 pp
17-8
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ferreira: 24 sig / 0 TD · Stoltzfus: 18 sig / 1 TD
Brunno Ferreira
Dustin Stoltzfus
29
Sig strikes landed
29
65
Sig strikes attempted
69
44
Total strikes landed
37
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
90s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Brunno Ferreira

"The Hulk"
16-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
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L UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
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Blue corner
W1

Dustin Stoltzfus

17-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
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L UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
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W UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
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L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
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L UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
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