Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Eduarda Moura vs Denise Gomes
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
·KFC Yum! Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Eduarda Moura
Denise Gomes
57%
43%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
63"
30
Age
Δ 6y
24
13-2
Career record
Δ 12 pp
12-4
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Moura: 18 sig / 5 TD ·
Gomes: 50 sig / 0 TD
Eduarda Moura
Denise Gomes
48
Sig strikes landed
31
81
Sig strikes attempted
57
60
Total strikes landed
63
2.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.1
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
247s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Eduarda Moura
"Ronda"
13-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
Blue corner
L1
Denise Gomes
"Dee"
12-4
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—