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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Cody Stamann vs Taylor Lapilus

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Cody Stamann
Taylor Lapilus
37% 63%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 8"
73"
35
Age
Δ 2y
32
21-9-1
Career record
Δ 13 pp
21-5
L1
Current streak
L1
13
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stamann: 59 sig / 1 TD · Lapilus: 100 sig / 0 TD
Cody Stamann
Taylor Lapilus
60
Sig strikes landed
61
133
Sig strikes attempted
135
77
Total strikes landed
86
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
94s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Cody Stamann

"The Spartan"
21-9-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 13 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
L UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
L UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
Blue corner
L1

Taylor Lapilus

"Double Impact"
21-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
W UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
L UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
W UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…