Main
Bantamweight
Raul Rosas Jr. vs Ricky Turcios
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
·KFC Yum! Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Raul Rosas Jr.
Ricky Turcios
78%
22%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
20
Age
Δ 11y
31
13-1
Career record
Δ 23 pp
14-6
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Rosas Jr.: 3 sig / 4 TD ·
Turcios: 7 sig / 0 TD
Raul Rosas Jr.
Ricky Turcios
41
Sig strikes landed
29
91
Sig strikes attempted
83
53
Total strikes landed
47
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
187s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Raul Rosas Jr.
"El Nino Problema"
13-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
20
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
Blue corner
W1
Ricky Turcios
14-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—