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Main Flyweight

Kiru Sahota vs Yin Shuai

Road to UFC 3.3 + 3.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Kiru Sahota
Yin Shuai
54% 46%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 7"
66"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Sahota: 46 sig / 1 TD · Shuai: 36 sig / 9 TD
Kiru Sahota
Yin Shuai
36
Sig strikes landed
34
76
Sig strikes attempted
69
51
Total strikes landed
52
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
114s
Control time
175s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Kiru Sahota

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner

Yin Shuai

"Black Panther"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27