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Main Bantamweight

Baergeng Jieleyisi vs Li Yunfeng

Road to UFC 3.3 + 3.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Baergeng Jieleyisi
Li Yunfeng
71% 29%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
28
Age
Δ 3y
25
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Jieleyisi: 24 sig / 2 TD · Yunfeng: 5 sig / 0 TD
Baergeng Jieleyisi
Li Yunfeng
43
Sig strikes landed
41
97
Sig strikes attempted
90
60
Total strikes landed
55
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
161s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Baergeng Jieleyisi

18-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L Road to UFC 2.3 + 2.4
—
Blue corner

Li Yunfeng

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25