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Zhu Kangjie vs Tatsuya Ando

Road to UFC 3.1 + 3.2 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Zhu Kangjie
Tatsuya Ando
78% 22%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
28
Age
Δ 6y
34

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kangjie: 74 sig / 1 TD · Ando: 14 sig / 0 TD
Zhu Kangjie
Tatsuya Ando
40
Sig strikes landed
30
84
Sig strikes attempted
67
58
Total strikes landed
45
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
143s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Zhu Kangjie

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Tatsuya Ando

"Kirinji"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34