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Main Women's Flyweight

Wang Cong vs Paula Luna

Road to UFC 3.1 + 3.2 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Wang Cong
Paula Luna
62% 38%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
62"
32
Age
Δ 7y
25

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Cong: 19 sig / 1 TD · Luna: 2 sig / 0 TD
Wang Cong
Paula Luna
40
Sig strikes landed
35
77
Sig strikes attempted
65
74
Total strikes landed
60
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.0
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
186s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Wang Cong

"The Joker"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
Blue corner

Paula Luna

"La Prodigia"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25