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Main Women's Strawweight

Priya Sharma vs Dong Huaxiang

Road to UFC 3.1 + 3.2 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Priya Sharma
Dong Huaxiang
29% 71%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 2"
62"
33
Age
Δ 7y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sharma: 20 sig / 0 TD · Huaxiang: 48 sig / 4 TD
Priya Sharma
Dong Huaxiang
31
Sig strikes landed
40
66
Sig strikes attempted
80
55
Total strikes landed
74
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
120s
Control time
184s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Priya Sharma

"The Catwoman"
0-0
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner

Dong Huaxiang

0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Switch
Age
26