Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Niko Price
Alex Morono
45%
55%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
35
Age
Δ 1y
34
16-12
Career record
Δ 9 pp
25-13
L2
Current streak
W1
16
UFC fights in our DB
20
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Price: 108 sig / 5 TD ·
Morono: 96 sig / 1 TD
Niko Price
Alex Morono
57
Sig strikes landed
73
127
Sig strikes attempted
141
68
Total strikes landed
83
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
74s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
16-12
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
16 fights · 7-7
Last 5
L
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
L
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
L
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
Blue corner
W1
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
20 fights · 13-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—