Main
Welterweight
Randy Brown vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Randy Brown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
60%
40%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 5"
73"
34
Age
Δ 4y
38
21-8
Career record
Δ 5 pp
25-10-2
W2
Current streak
D1
17
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brown: 67 sig / 0 TD ·
Zaleski dos Santos: 26 sig / 4 TD
Randy Brown
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
63
Sig strikes landed
66
140
Sig strikes attempted
131
76
Total strikes landed
80
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
103s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
17 fights · 12-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
L
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
Blue corner
D1
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
25-10-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
14 fights · 10-3
Last 5
D
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—