Back to UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Main Women's Strawweight

Luana Pinheiro vs Angela Hill

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Luana Pinheiro
Angela Hill
72% 28%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
32
Age
Δ 8y
39
11-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
20-16
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Pinheiro: 17 sig / 1 TD · Hill: 28 sig / 2 TD
Luana Pinheiro
Angela Hill
76
Sig strikes landed
76
178
Sig strikes attempted
147
105
Total strikes landed
94
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
80s
Control time
185s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Luana Pinheiro

11-6
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
W UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
Blue corner
W1

Angela Hill

"Overkill"
20-16
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database 24 fights · 11-13
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—