Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Adrian Yanez
Vinicius Salvador
65%
35%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
30
Age
Δ 3y
28
17-7-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
14-8
L2
Current streak
L2
7
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Yanez: 36 sig / 0 TD ·
Salvador: 17 sig / 0 TD
Adrian Yanez
Vinicius Salvador
63
Sig strikes landed
52
145
Sig strikes attempted
124
63
Total strikes landed
58
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
50s
Control time
44s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Adrian Yanez
17-7-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
L2
Vinicius Salvador
14-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—