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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Azamat Murzakanov vs Alonzo Menifield

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Azamat Murzakanov
Alonzo Menifield
67% 33%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
35
Age
Δ 2y
37
17-1
Career record
Δ 25 pp
18-7-1
W3
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
13

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Murzakanov: 45 sig / 0 TD · Menifield: 15 sig / 0 TD
Azamat Murzakanov
Alonzo Menifield
47
Sig strikes landed
33
83
Sig strikes attempted
80
55
Total strikes landed
36
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
91s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Azamat Murzakanov

"The Professional"
17-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
W UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
Blue corner
L1

Alonzo Menifield

"Atomic"
18-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 13 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
W UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
W UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
D UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
W UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…