Main
Bantamweight
Marlon Vera vs Deiveson Figueiredo
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Marlon Vera
Deiveson Figueiredo
49%
51%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
32
Age
Δ 5y
37
23-13-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
26-7-1
L1
Current streak
W2
23
UFC fights in our DB
16
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vera: 52 sig / 0 TD ·
Figueiredo: 45 sig / 2 TD
Marlon Vera
Deiveson Figueiredo
54
Sig strikes landed
47
104
Sig strikes attempted
82
75
Total strikes landed
61
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.2
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.50
Knockdowns
0.40
57s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23-13-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
23 fights · 15-8
Last 5
L
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
Blue corner
W2
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
26-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
16 fights · 12-3
Last 5
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—