Back to UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Main Women's Bantamweight

Mayra Bueno Silva vs Macy Chiasson

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Mayra Bueno Silva
Macy Chiasson
50% 50%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
33
Age
33
10-8-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
12-6
L1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
10

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 2
Bueno Silva: 46 sig / 0 TD · Chiasson: 50 sig / 1 TD
Mayra Bueno Silva
Macy Chiasson
37
Sig strikes landed
42
72
Sig strikes attempted
90
63
Total strikes landed
75
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
161s
Control time
253s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
33%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Mayra Bueno Silva

"Sheetara"
10-8-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
Blue corner
W1

Macy Chiasson

12-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
L UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
W UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—