Back to UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Prelims1 Featherweight

Muhammad Naimov vs Felipe Lima

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov ·Kingdom Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Muhammad Naimov
Felipe Lima
44% 56%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
W3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Naimov: 30 sig / 1 TD · Lima: 37 sig / 1 TD
Muhammad Naimov
Felipe Lima
30
Sig strikes landed
25
65
Sig strikes attempted
56
44
Total strikes landed
36
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
130s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Muhammad Naimov

"Hillman"
14-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
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Blue corner

Felipe Lima

"Jungle Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26