Prelims1
Bantamweight
Kyung Ho Kang vs Muin Gafurov
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
·Kingdom Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Kyung Ho Kang
Muin Gafurov
41%
59%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 5"
68"
37
Age
Δ 9y
28
19-12
Career record
Δ 10 pp
20-8
L1
Current streak
L2
13
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kang: 12 sig / 3 TD ·
Gafurov: 47 sig / 1 TD
Kyung Ho Kang
Muin Gafurov
49
Sig strikes landed
39
101
Sig strikes attempted
87
67
Total strikes landed
54
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
172s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kyung Ho Kang
"Mr. Perfect"
19-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
13 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
Blue corner
L2
Muin Gafurov
"Tajik"
20-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—