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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov vs Brendson Ribeiro

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
Brendson Ribeiro
53% 47%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
81"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Gadzhiyasulov: 26 sig / 5 TD · Ribeiro: 17 sig / 3 TD
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
Brendson Ribeiro
36
Sig strikes landed
35
61
Sig strikes attempted
67
50
Total strikes landed
42
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
145s
Control time
66s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
L1

Brendson Ribeiro

"The Gorilla"
17-11 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria