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Johnny Walker vs Volkan Oezdemir

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov ·Kingdom Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Johnny Walker
Volkan Oezdemir
63% 37%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 7"
75"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
22-11
Career record
Δ 7 pp
22-8
L1
Current streak
W1
13
UFC fights in our DB
13

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Walker: 15 sig / 0 TD · Oezdemir: 37 sig / 0 TD
Johnny Walker
Volkan Oezdemir
46
Sig strikes landed
43
89
Sig strikes attempted
79
48
Total strikes landed
55
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
31s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Johnny Walker

22-11 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 13 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
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W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
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W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
W1

Volkan Oezdemir

"No Time"
22-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
L UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
L UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—