Main
Featherweight
Alex Caceres vs Sean Woodson
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
·Enterprise Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Alex Caceres
Sean Woodson
36%
64%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
21-16
Career record
Δ 26 pp
14-2-1
L1
Current streak
W2
29
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Caceres: 82 sig / 0 TD ·
Woodson: 101 sig / 0 TD
Alex Caceres
Sean Woodson
67
Sig strikes landed
74
136
Sig strikes attempted
131
78
Total strikes landed
92
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
150s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
21-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
29 fights · 16-12
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
Blue corner
W2
Sean Woodson
"The Sniper"
14-2-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
D
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—