Main
Heavyweight
Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Robelis Despaigne
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
·Enterprise Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Robelis Despaigne
81%
19%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 6"
84"
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
18-3
Career record
Δ 11 pp
6-2
W2
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cortes Acosta: 52 sig / 3 TD ·
Despaigne: 26 sig / 0 TD
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Robelis Despaigne
39
Sig strikes landed
40
60
Sig strikes attempted
89
50
Total strikes landed
37
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.3
0.4
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
86s
Control time
7s
Method
Decision
18%
KO/TKO
75%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
18-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
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W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
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W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
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Blue corner
W1
Robelis Despaigne
"The Big Boy"
6-2
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
84"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
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