Prelims1
Flyweight
Charles Johnson vs Jake Hadley
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
·Enterprise Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Charles Johnson
Jake Hadley
59%
41%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
20-8
Career record
Δ 3 pp
11-5
W1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Johnson: 70 sig / 0 TD ·
Hadley: 48 sig / 0 TD
Charles Johnson
Jake Hadley
53
Sig strikes landed
42
98
Sig strikes attempted
101
72
Total strikes landed
57
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
135s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
20-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jake Hadley
"White Kong"
11-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—